Luo Zhengshan, Bi Aorui. Prediction on casing life of thermal production wells based on IA-SVM model[J]. Petroleum Reservoir Evaluation and Development, 2018, (1): 58-63. DOI: 10.13809/j.cnki.cn32-1825/te.2018.01.012.
damage and leakage of the casing pipes caused by the high temperature
high pressure
and the sand erosion of the thermal production wells during the exploitation of the heavy oil
a life prediction model based on the immune algorithm(IA)and the support vector machine(SVM)was built. Firstly
the IA was used to obtain the exact values of three parameters that affected the prediction accuracy of the SVM. Secondly
the life prediction model was built by taking 5 factors that affected the life of the casing as the input variables of the SVM
and the casing life as the target output. Finally
the casing wells running in Liaohe oilfield were taken as the examples to test the performance of the model. The results showed that the model could predict the casing life well with small errors and high coincidence. It provides a reference for the maintenance and repair of the casing.